Friday, February 22, 2008

The Market Value Inflation formula


Can We Give You Some Advice for Pricing Your Home?

When pricing a house, our Real Estate Team definitely does not simply plug numbers in a calculator and spit out a price. There are a few methods that we generally use to determine a fair asking price for your property.

1. Market comparables are used; recently sold houses, expired listings and current market competition.
2. We then weigh the overall quality of the home, the demographic currently buying and their unique needs, and overall market volume in order to assess value.
3. The third method that we use is a Market Value Inflation formula to statistically determine a proper value of your home. This particular formula is fairly specific to our local market within Oxford County and does take the
Toyota impact into consideration.

The Market Value Inflation formula:

Normal market conditions dictate a 2-3% increase in value per year assuming proper renewal has been performed (such as furnace and roof replacement) and good general maintenance. It does not consider major upgrades or renovations. Additionally, we can statistically prove that the announcement of the Toyota plant construction in Woodstock did trigger a 23% increase in property values locally through 2005 and 2006.

For example A house purchased in Woodstock in 2004 for $150,000 could presently be worth $196,000 (as of Feb, 2008) according to the Market Value Inflation formula.

The value of the house increased 30-32%, that is:

23% (the Toyota factor) + 2.5% for the remaining 3 years (Inflationary pressure)

Therefore, $150,000 + $46,500 = $196,000, or, a very good investment!

It is important to note that this formula is not a hard-and-fast RULE for value assessment of property however, it can help you test your own reality and ensure you are prepared for the potential value of your home. It is also a key part of our three step process for market value assessment.

A word about Renovations and “Flipping houses”

A Seller who needs or wishes to sell within 1-2 years of buying will be challenged to recover the costs associated with buying and selling houses (such sales commission, legal fees, moving expenses, etc).

Also, in terms of renovations, you cannot expect to receive dollar for dollar what you have put in to the house. Some improvements are simply considered good maintenance: Ensuring the home is in as good of shape as it was when you bought it, and generally keeping up to date with popular likes and dislikes. Major improvements will of course be considered separately by your Realtor. For example, a seller who has recently invested $10,000 in windows cannot necessarily expect to add $10,000 to the value of their property however, some minor aesthetic repairs and a fresh coat of paint may help the property sell faster, and ideally closer to asking price.

‘Flipping’ a house as a business includes different variables. Normally this is only possible if the house can be obtained though an opportunity to purchase below market value. A flipper must have access to inexpensive products and labour for renovations. Profit is also realized through tax benefits to being in the business of flipping.
This article reprinted courtesy of my team member and close ally, Drew Symons

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Tuesday, February 12, 2008

It's in the numbers - Drew's Review of 2007


The Numbers Tell the Story - Drew’s Review of the 2007 Oxford County Real Estate Market

It is my plan to blog on a regular basis some of the tangible numbers that tell the story of our Oxford County real estate market. We need to begin today with a review of 2007.

Increase in Volume but not in Average Sale Price
December 2007 was one of the slowest months in recent years with the number of new listings down by 3%. Sales numbers were also down, by 28%, in December 2007 compared to December 2006. Yet, overall, 2007 sales were up 6% from 2006.

Realtors have had concerns that the increase in home sale prices in the last few years would not be sustainable. 2007 did not see the increases of 2005 and 2006. In which time the average sale price grew on average of 23%. Normal increases for real estate should be between 2.5 and 3% each year. That very large jump unfortunately raised expectations among sellers in 2007. As a result, there were 20% more expired listings in 2007 than in 2006. Listings expire for one reason - over pricing.
The average sale price in Woodstock in 2007 was $197,586 for a single-family home. In 2006 the average sale price was $194,253. This is a normal market increase.

The Ingersoll market proved interesting: In 2007 the average sale price was well up at $192,751 above $179,474 in 2006. Local realtors feel we can attribute this to Ingersoll enjoying Woodstock spillover as buyers search for more reasonably priced houses and lower property taxes.

The Toyota spike has come and gone. We have now returned to a pre-2005 market. Realtors are confident that this new reality will provide good opportunities for buyers and reasonable returns for sellers. Drew Symons

Learn more about Drew at
www.drewsymons.com and watch this blog for more market updates.

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Our Beautiful Office Staff!

Lets take a minute to introduce the entire office staff here at Sutton Group - Right Way Real Estate (2007) Inc., Brokerage in Beatiful Woodstock Ontario!